FBC 2023 Oscar Coverage, part V: Predicting the nominations

With the nominations less than 24 hours away, you can feel the excitement in the air, and by that, I mean the air around me!

I’ve been predicting the Oscar nominations for Fancy Boys for three years with a very respectable 80% success rate. I think 2022 has the chance to be the most unpredictable Oscars in years, but that could also make it the most fun. Every year, I have a pick from my heart, whether it is Lupita Nyong’o for Us or Nicolas Cage for Pig, and I’m gonna try and avoid that and just go with my gut of what I think the Oscar voter is going to say.

Unfortunately, that is challenging in 2023. This feels like the one year where every category has some wild cards. Each category has about 3-4 locks with then another 2-5 hopefuls going for the other spots. And there are some real dogfights here. Remember how I said Michelle Williams running for Lead Actress was going to ruin the chances of a worthy actress? I did not realize it, but the actress getting hosed was Williams herself! Universal should have listened to me.

So, here we go. The nominees will be…

Best Picture

All Quiet On The Western Front
Avatar: The Way Of Water
The Banshees Of Inisherin
Everything Everywhere All At Once

The Fablemans
Top Gun: Maverick
Triangle Of Sadness
The Whale

Best Director

Todd Field, Tár
Joseph Kosinski, Top Gun: Maverick
Daniel Kwan & Daniel Scheinert, Everything Everywhere All At Once
Martin McDonagh, The Banshees Of Inisherin
Steven Spielberg, The Fablemans

Best Actor

Austin Butler, Elvis
Colin Farrell, The Banshees Of Inisherin
Brendan Fraser, The Whale
Paul Mescal, Aftersun
Bill Nighy, Living

Best Actress

Cate Blanchett, Tár
Viola Davis, The Woman King
Ana de Armas, Blonde
Danielle Deadwyler, Till
Michelle Yeoh, Everything Everywhere All At Once

Best Supporting Actor

Paul Dano, The Fabelmans
Brendan Gleeson, The Banshees Of Inisherin
Barry Keoghan, The Banshees Of Inisherin
Ke Huy Quan, Everything Everywhere All At Once
Eddie Redmayne, The Good Nurse

Best Supporting Actress

Angela Bassett, Black Panther: Wakanda Forever
Hong Chau, The Whale
Kerry Condon, The Banshees Of Inisherin
Jamie Lee Curtis, Everything Everywhere All At Once
Dolly de Leon, Triangle Of Sadness

Best Original Screenplay

The Banshees Of Inisherin
Everything Everywhere All At Once
The Fablemans
Triangle Of Sadness

Best Adapted Screenplay

All Quiet On The Western Front
Glass Onion: A Knives Out Mystery
She Said
The Whale

Best Animated Feature

Guillermo Del Toro’s Pinocchio
Marcel The Shell With Shoes On
Puss In Boots: The Last Wish
Turning Red
Wendell & Wild

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