Hamnet – Fancy Boys Club

FBC 2026 Oscars Coverage, Part III: Predicting the nominations…

On Thursday, the Oscar nominations will be revealed to the world. All the guilds and AMPAS members will finally have their say and we will see who will be in the running for movies biggest night. I usually can predict the Oscars with about 80% accuracy. Any less than 70% and I’m just gonna drink my way through January. Any more than 90% and… well, about the same. It’s cold in the midwest and there isn’t a lot to do.

I should point out that this is who I think will be nominated and not who should be nominated. So, with that said, let’s get into nominees from the major categories.

And the nominees will be…

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This Thursday, the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) will release the nominations for the 98th Academy Awards. I, as always, am fucking psyched. You’ve heard me talk about the Oscars before so you know how I feel about them. They’re amazing and they try to get it right and, lately, they’ve been doing ok. No, I am not counting Green Book winning Best Picture. Or CODA.

This year, the big question seems to be if any movie will be able to stop the momentum that One Battle After Another has been, seemingly, building since its release. While Paul Thomas Anderson’s latest movie seems to currently be on pace to have a big Thursday as the front-runner for the top prize, there are some storylines which have popped up in the last few weeks.

This Thursday, we will learn the answers to these questions:

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FBC 2026 Oscars Coverage, Part III: Predicting the nominations…

FBC 2026 Oscars Coverage, Part 1: The five big questions leading into the nominations