FBC 2025 Oscar Coverage, Part III: Predicting the winners…

FBC 2025 Oscar Coverage, Part III: Predicting the winners…

Happy Oscars, everyone!

This has been the least I have written about my favorite awards show in the history of this site and there are two big reasons for that. The first is that the major races have been the most fluid I have, possibly, ever seen since I’ve been watching the awards as a child. While some races seem to have solidified, there are few categories where I feel like you can lock in and say, “This is one you should bet a lot of money on.”

Continue reading “FBC 2025 Oscar Coverage, Part III: Predicting the winners…”

FBC 2025 Oscars Coverage, Part 2: Predicting The Nominations

FBC 2025 Oscars Coverage, Part 2: Predicting The Nominations

With raging wildfires forcing the delay of the nominations until Thursday, it’s given me time to reflect on who the nominees should be. As some of the guild precursors have resonated, my Buzz Meter from a week ago has undergone great tumult. Nickel Boys has lost a ton of steam, The Apprentice has gained some, and Sing Sing has had one of the crazier pre-Oscar runs in recent history.

But, it’s time to lock them in. My goal is always for around 75%, with anything over 80% a near guarantee to turn me into an unbearable douche. So, with those stakes on the table, let’s get predicting!!!


Continue reading “FBC 2025 Oscars Coverage, Part 2: Predicting The Nominations”

FBC 2025 Oscars Coverage, part 1: Which films are getting Oscar Buzz? (and what are those films about?)

FBC 2025 Oscars Coverage, part 1: Which films are getting Oscar Buzz? (and what are those films about?)

We are back talking about The Oscars, baby!

Nominations for Hollywood’s biggest night will be revealed this Sunday which means we need to make some predictions. And we cannot do that without seeing which films seem to be peaking at the right time. So, to do that, I made the Buzzmeter!!!

The Buzzmeter looks at which films are getting the most predictions in the major categories (Best Picture, Director, Acting and Screenwriting) and puts them into three piles: Definite locks, Lots of good buzz, and Wild Cards. I gave 5 points to every lock, three to a film with good buzz and a point to the Wild Cards. Also, if you haven’t seen the movie, I will give what I can only assume was the basic one sentence elevator pitch for the movie.

Let’s get buzz-examining!


Continue reading “FBC 2025 Oscars Coverage, part 1: Which films are getting Oscar Buzz? (and what are those films about?)”

FBC 2024 Oscars Coverage, part XI: The Secondsies! Plus, final prediction tallies

FBC 2024 Oscars Coverage, part XI: The Secondsies! Plus, final prediction tallies

Most years, I do a column about who the Oscar nominees should be, and that is always fun for me, mainly because it allows me to feel smart and smug and self-righteous. But, you know what? In 2023, the Academy did a pretty good job picking the nominees. I don’t agree with all of them, but I’m onboard with most. So, I gave myself a challenge: Could I pick a slate of films and performances who deserved to be nominated while excluding all of those who were?

Like that, The Secondsies were born.

There is only one rule for The Secondsies. Anyone who is nominated for an Oscar in their category is ineligible to be nominated. This is a nice way to make sure that not just the obvious snubs got mentioned, but also to include some deserving nominees who never had a chance. I’ll present the nominees for The Secondsies and then end my Oscars prediction recap.

Let’s get re-nominating!

Continue reading “FBC 2024 Oscars Coverage, part XI: The Secondsies! Plus, final prediction tallies”

FBC 2024 Oscars Coverage, Part V: Predicting the winners, part 1- Animated & International Feature

FBC 2024 Oscars Coverage, Part V: Predicting the winners, part 1- Animated & International Feature

As we are days away from the Oscars, let’s get into predicting! All this week, I’ll be laying out my choices for who will (and who should) be winning the nominations. I used to have a category called “Upset Special”, but I’m now changing that to a simpler question: “Does anyone else have a chance to win?” And, as always, I’ll be letting you know who got absolutely snubbed by not even being nominated (and, for every snub, I saw what should have replaced it).

Who will be walking home with Oscars on Sunday, March 10? Let’s do some predicticating!!!!

Continue reading “FBC 2024 Oscars Coverage, Part V: Predicting the winners, part 1- Animated & International Feature”

FBC 2024 Oscar Coverage, Part III: Recapping the nominations- Winners and Losers (and something in-between)

FBC 2024 Oscar Coverage, Part III: Recapping the nominations- Winners and Losers (and something in-between)

When it was all said and done this morning, we got all of the nominations for the 96th Academy Awards. Overall in my predictions, I did ok (43/55). There were a lot of surprises, so let’s just get into who is happy right now, who is bummed out, and who is feeling… well, kind of muddled.

Continue reading “FBC 2024 Oscar Coverage, Part III: Recapping the nominations- Winners and Losers (and something in-between)”

FBC 2024 Oscar Coverage, Part II: The nominations predictions…

FBC 2024 Oscar Coverage, Part II: The nominations predictions…

We have come, everyone, to my favorite thing I get to write all year. Usually, I rock about 80% for my predictions of the Oscar nominations. If that number is any higher, I am insufferable until the ceremony, where I am sure to crash when predicting the winners. If that number is any lower, I am inconsolable until the next year. So, most people hope I hit that 80% mark exactly so I’m not a pain in the ass one way or another.

This year, the locks seem to be unfuckwithable and the remainders seem to be a dogfight. Currently, voting is open so me turning in my predictions right now seems like a mistake. But mistakes is where I thrive. Also, any sort of late push now will probably not do a lot. So, let’s cross our fingers and see where the chips fall when the nominees are announced on January 23rd. Just a reminder that I only do nominations for the ten major categories (Best Picture, Best Director, the four acting and two screenwriting categories, Best Animated Feature and Best International Film).

Without further ado, I believe the nominations will be…

Continue reading “FBC 2024 Oscar Coverage, Part II: The nominations predictions…”

FBC 2024 Oscar Coverage, Part 1: Early Contender Power Rankings!

FBC 2024 Oscar Coverage, Part 1: Early Contender Power Rankings!

That is correct, it is time for the Oscars, my babies! Movies are better than football and more satisfying than politics, so let’s set those things aside just for a few moments and get into the moving pictures!

Continue reading “FBC 2024 Oscar Coverage, Part 1: Early Contender Power Rankings!”