FBC 2026 Oscars Coverage, Part III: Predicting the nominations…

On Thursday, the Oscar nominations will be revealed to the world. All the guilds and AMPAS members will finally have their say and we will see who will be in the running for movies biggest night. I usually can predict the Oscars with about 80% accuracy. Any less than 70% and I’m just gonna drink my way through January. Any more than 90% and… well, about the same. It’s cold in the midwest and there isn’t a lot to do.

I should point out that this is who I think will be nominated and not who should be nominated. So, with that said, let’s get into nominees from the major categories.

And the nominees will be…


Best Picture

Bugonia
Frankenstein
Hamnet
It Was Just An Accident
Marty Supreme
One Battle After Another
The Secret Agent
Sentimental Value
Sinners
Train Dreams


Best Director

Paul Thomas Anderson, One Battle After Another
Ryan Coogler, Sinners
Jafar Panahi, It Was Just An Accident
Josh Safdie, Marty Supreme
Chloe Zhao, Hamnet


Best Actress

Jessie Buckley, Hamnet
Rose Byrne, If I Had Legs, I’d Kick You
Chase Infiniti, One Battle After Another
Renata Reinsve, Sentimental Value
Emma Stone, Bugonia


Best Actor

Timothee Chalamet, Marty Supreme
Leonardo DiCaprio, One Battle After Another
Ethan Hawke, Blue Moon
Michael B. Jordan, Sinners
Wagner Moura, The Secret Agent


Best Supporting Actress

Ariana Grande, Wicked: For Good
Inga Ibsdotter Lilleaas, Sentimental Value
Amy Madigan, Weapons
Wunmi Musaku, Sinners
Teyana Taylor, One Battle After Another


Best Supporting Actor

Benicio Del Toro, One Battle After Another
Jacob Elordi, Frankenstein
Paul Mescal, Hamnet
Sean Penn, One Battle After Another
Stellan Skarsgard, Sentimental Value


Best Original Screenplay

It Was Just An Accident
Marty Supreme
Sentimental Value
Sinners
Sorry Baby


Best Adapted Sceenplay

Bugonia
Frankenstein
Hamnet
One Battle After Another
Train Dreams


Best Animated Feature

Arco
Elio
K-Pop Demon Hunters
Litte Amelie or the Character Of Rain
Zootopia 2


Best International Feature

It Was Just An Accident
No Other Choice
The Secret Agent
Sentimental Value
Sirat

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